Readmission Risk & Avoidable Cost Explorer

Calculate LACE & HOSPITAL risk and simulate transitional-care bundles with conservative, literature-backed effect sizes.

LACE Calculator

LACE score:
30-day event risk (death or unplanned readmit): % source

HOSPITAL Calculator

HOSPITAL points:
Risk category: , est. potentially avoidable 30-day readmit risk: % source

Discharge Panel Inputs

Default category risks from international validation: Low 5.8%, Intermediate 11.9%, High 22.8%.

We map to expected 30-day event risks per LACE (CMAJ 2010) using midpoint scores in each band.

CSV columns (any subset): LACE_los, LACE_acute, LACE_cci, LACE_ed, HOS_hb, HOS_onc, HOS_na, HOS_proc, HOS_urgent, HOS_prev, HOS_los5. We’ll compute scores row-wise.

Intervention Scenarios

Default RRRs are conservative and editable. Effects stack multiplicatively and apply to covered high/intermediate-risk patients.

Results

Baseline expected readmissions:
Scenario expected readmissions:
Avoided readmissions: (%)
Estimated cost offset: $

HRRP Penalty (illustrative)

Baseline penalty $: $
Scenario penalty $ (est.): $

We estimate penalty reduction as: baseline_penalty × (1 − elasticity × proportional readmission reduction). Actual HRRP penalties depend on CMS-calculated excess readmission ratios by condition and are capped at 3%.

See CMS HRRP: program page.